Practice English Speaking&Listening with: White House Coronavirus Policy Still Motivated By Debunked Model | Rachel Maddow | MSNBC

Normal
(0)
Difficulty: 0

WHILE URGING AMERICA TO START

REOPENING BUSINESSES AND

SCHOOLS.

THEY DIDNT LIKE THE REAL

MODELS.

AND SO THEY INVENTED THEIR OWN

MODEL INSIDE THE TRUMP WHITE

HOUSE ABOUT A MONTH AGO.

AND THAT MODEL FROM A WHITE

HOUSE ECONOMIST, WITH NO

BACKGROUND WHATSOEVER IN HEALTH,

LET ALONE INFECTIOUS DISEASE,

TOLD THEM THAT THIS THING WAS

SOON TO BE DONE, IT WAS GOING TO

BE OVER.

WHAT DID THEY CALL IT, THEY

CALLED IT AN ECONNOMETRIC MODEL,

CREATED BY KEVIN HASSETT, AN

ECONOMIST WITH NO BACKGROUND IN

INFECTIOUS DISEASES.

THAT WAS THE AUTOPSY ON MAY

"WASHINGTON POST" ON MAY 2nd.

WHITE HOUSE OFFICIALS HAVE BEEN

RELICING ON MODELS INCLUDING A

QUOTE, CUBIC MODEL CREATED BY

ECONOMIST KEVIN HASSETT AND THE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS.

WHAT IS THIS CUBIC MODEL THAT IS

TELLING THEM WE SHOULD GET THE

WHOLE COUNTRY OPEN RIGHT AWAY

BECAUSE THIS WHOLE THING IS

GOING AWAY MAGICALLY ON ITS OWN,

SOON.

AND IN THE ROIRM REARVIEW MIRROR

BY THE TIME WE GET TO MEMORIAL

DAY?

NOBODY KNOWS.

BUT THE "WASHINGTON POST" GOT

MULTIPLE WHITE HOUSE SOURCES TO

TELL THEM WHAT THE MODEL SAID.

QUOTE, THE MODEL SHOWS DEATHS

DROPPING PRECIPITOUSLY IN MAY

AND ESSENTIALLY GOING TO ZERO BY

MAY 15th.

ZERO DEATHS BY MAY 15th.

MAY 15th WAS THIS PAST FRIDAY,

THREE DAYS AGO.

AMERICAN DEATHS FROM CORONAVIRUS

DID NOT GO TO ZERO BY MAY 15th.

WHY ARE THEY CALLING THIS A

CUBIC MODEL?

WHY DID THE WHITE HOUSE DECIDE

THIS WAS THE MODEL THEY WERE

GOING TO FOLLOW?

THAT SEEMS OBVIOUS.

WHAT IS A CUBIC MODEL?

WHERE DID THEY GET THIS?

NOBODY REALLY KNOWS A CUBIC

FUNCTION IS A MATHEMATICAL

CONCEPT THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO

WITH HOW VIRUSES WORK OR

CONTAGION WORKS.

IT IS A SORT OF A MATH WAY TO

PUT A MEANINGLESS LINE ON A

BUNCH OF NUMBERS ON A GRAPH THAT

MAKES THE NUMBERS LOOK LIKE THEY

WILL DROP TO ZERO OR LESS THAN

ZERO RIGHT AFTER THEY PEAK.

YOU CAN DO THAT, YOU CAN DRAW A

LINE LIKE THAT, ON ANY AMOUNT OF

DATA, ON AN EXCEL SPREAD SHEET,

WITHOUT HAVING ANY UNDERSTANDING

OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES OR

CONTAGION WHATSOEVER.

AND IM SURE ITS VERY

COMFORTING IF YOU DECIDE TO

BELIEVE THAT LINE IS A REAL

THING.

BUT THAT LINE ISNT A REAL

THING.

ITS JUST A THING YOU CAN PUT ON

A GRAPH.

KEVIN HASSETT AND THE COUNCIL OF

ECONOMIC ADVISERS EVENTUALLY

TWEETED OUT THIS SHARPIE.

LOOK AT THIS.

THIS ISNT SOMEBODY ELSE DRAWING

ON IT.

THIS IS ACTUALLY WHAT THEY

TWEETED OUT THIS.

SHARPIE-LOOKING THING, TO DEFEND

HOW RIGOROUS THEIR MODEL WAS.

BUT THIS IS THEIR MODEL, CREATED

BY AN ECONOMIST, THAT THE WHITE

HOUSE USED TO BASE DECISIONS ON

REOPENING AROUND THE COUNTRY.

BUT IT IS LITERALLY JUST A THING

THEY MADE UP ABOUT WHAT THEY

HOPED MIGHT HAPPEN WITH THE

EPIDEMIC, THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO

WITH REAL EPIDEMIOLOGY.

IT SAID THE DEATHS WOULD BE ZERO

BY MAY 15th.

AND SO THEY CRANKED TO GET THE

WHOLE COUNTRY OPEN, TO TAKE

ADVANTAGE OF THE FACT THAT

DEATHS WOULD BE ZERO.

JASON FURMAN WAS CHAIR OF THE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

UNDER PRESIDENT OBAMA.

HE SAID IN RESPONSE TO THIS,

FROM THE TRUMP WHITE HOUSE,

QUOTE, THIS MIGHT BE THE LOWEST

POINT IN THE 74-YEAR HISTORY OF

THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC

ADVISERS.

THE STAKES ON THE

EPIDEMIOLOGICAL QUESTIONS ARE SO

HIGH, THAT THIS UTTERLY

SUPERFICIAL AND MISLEADING

MODELING HAS NO PLACE WHATSOEVER

IN ANY DISCUSSION OF THE

GOVERNMENTS RESPONSE.

HE CONTINUED, QUOTE, FAUX

EXPERTISE IS EVEN WORSE THAN

IGNORANCE.

TO THE DEGREE THAT THIS CROWDED

OUT INPUT FROM GENUINE EXPERTS

AND CONFUSED OTHER PARTICIPANTS

INTO THINKING THAT THE COUNCIL

OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS OR OTHER

ECONOMISTS HAD ANY SORT OF REAL

OR VALID MODEL OF THE EPIDEMIC,

IT IS REALLY AND TRULY TERRIBLE.

BUT HERE WE ARE.

IN THE WORLD CREATED TO SOME

DEGREE BY POLICIES, PUSHED BY A

WHITE HOUSE THAT DECIDED TO

BELIEVE THIS MODEL THAT THEY

INVENTED OUT OF WHOLE CLOTH.

HERE WE ARE, THREE DAYS AFTER

THE WHITE HOUSES IMAGINARY

MODEL MADE BY THE ECONOMIST

FRIEND, SAYING THAT U.S. DEATHS

WOULD BE AT ZERO, AND OF COURSE

U.S. DEATHS ARE NOT AS ZERO.

WE HAVE THE BIGGEST CORONAVIRUS

EPIDEMIC IN THE WORLD.

U.S. DEATHS CONTINUE THEIR

INEXORABLE CLIMB UP OVER 90,000

AT THIS POINT.

THE ONLY QUESTION RIGHT NOW, IN

The Description of White House Coronavirus Policy Still Motivated By Debunked Model | Rachel Maddow | MSNBC