TO SEE IN TOTAL CASES AND THUS IN TOTAL LIKELY FATALITIES?
IN TOTAL LIKELY FATALITIES? >> SO, I THINK IT’S VERY
>> SO, I THINK IT’S VERY IMPORTANT FOR YOUR VIEWERS TO
IMPORTANT FOR YOUR VIEWERS TO UNDERSTAND.
UNDERSTAND. THE NUMBERS WE HAVE TODAY, FIRST
THE NUMBERS WE HAVE TODAY, FIRST OF ALL, THEY’RE UNDERESTIMATE SO
OF ALL, THEY’RE UNDERESTIMATE SO IF YOU TAKE THE TOTAL NUMBER OF
IF YOU TAKE THE TOTAL NUMBER OF POSITIVE CONFIRMED CASES, YOU
POSITIVE CONFIRMED CASES, YOU MULTIPLY IT ROUGHLY BY TEN TO
MULTIPLY IT ROUGHLY BY TEN TO GET THE NUMBER OF ACTUAL CASES
GET THE NUMBER OF ACTUAL CASES OR YOU TAKE THE NUMBER OF DEATHS
OR YOU TAKE THE NUMBER OF DEATHS AND YOU MULTIPLY IT BY 800 TO
AND YOU MULTIPLY IT BY 800 TO GET THE ACTUAL NUMBER OF CASES
GET THE ACTUAL NUMBER OF CASES BUT THAT ACTUALLY NUMBER OF
BUT THAT ACTUALLY NUMBER OF CASES REFLECTS WHAT HAPPENED 15
CASES REFLECTS WHAT HAPPENED 15 DAYS AGO.
DAYS AGO. SOMEONE WHO’S UNFORTUNATELY DIED
SOMEONE WHO’S UNFORTUNATELY DIED GOT INFECTED 15 DAYS AGO AND
GOT INFECTED 15 DAYS AGO AND THEN DETERIORATED TO DIE.
THEN DETERIORATED TO DIE. SO, WE’RE TWO WEEKS OUT OF DATE
SO, WE’RE TWO WEEKS OUT OF DATE BY WHATEVER NUMBERS WE’RE SEEING
BY WHATEVER NUMBERS WE’RE SEEING AND THAT’S WHY WE REALLY -- IT
AND THAT’S WHY WE REALLY -- IT REALLY REFLECTS A MUCH LARGER
REALLY REFLECTS A MUCH LARGER NUMBER OF CASES, A MUCH LARGER
NUMBER OF CASES, A MUCH LARGER NUMBER OF DEATHS THAT ARE GOING
NUMBER OF DEATHS THAT ARE GOING TO HAPPEN HERE, AND THAT IS WHAT
TO HAPPEN HERE, AND THAT IS WHAT THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM IS, AND
THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM IS, AND PEOPLE WHO SAY, WELL, WE CAN’T
PEOPLE WHO SAY, WELL, WE CAN’T TAKE THE ECONOMY -- TANK THE
TAKE THE ECONOMY -- TANK THE ECONOMY TO SAVE LIVES, I THINK
ECONOMY TO SAVE LIVES, I THINK THEY, YOU KNOW, THE ECONOMY IS
THEY, YOU KNOW, THE ECONOMY IS GOING TO BE HOBBLED UNLESS WE
GOING TO BE HOBBLED UNLESS WE GET OUR HANDS AROUND THIS PUBLIC
GET OUR HANDS AROUND THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY.
HEALTH EMERGENCY. SO, I THINK THEY HAVE IT
SO, I THINK THEY HAVE IT BACKWARDS, WHICH IS LET’S SAVE
BACKWARDS, WHICH IS LET’S SAVE THE ECONOMY AND THEN WE CAN DEAL
THE ECONOMY AND THEN WE CAN DEAL WITH THE PUBLIC HEALTH
WITH THE PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY.
EMERGENCY. IT’S JUST THE REVERSE.
IT’S JUST THE REVERSE. LET’S DEAL WITH THE PUBLIC
LET’S DEAL WITH THE PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY VIGOROUSLY AND
HEALTH EMERGENCY VIGOROUSLY AND QUICKLY, BUT EVERY DAY THAT WE
QUICKLY, BUT EVERY DAY THAT WE DELAY, YOU KNOW, PHYSICAL
DELAY, YOU KNOW, PHYSICAL DISTANCING AND ACTUALLY MAKING
DISTANCING AND ACTUALLY MAKING IT PREVALENT THROUGHOUT ALL 50
IT PREVALENT THROUGHOUT ALL 50 STATES, IS A DAY THAT WE DELAY
STATES, IS A DAY THAT WE DELAY ACTUALLY SOLVING THIS PUBLIC
ACTUALLY SOLVING THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY AND BEING ABLE
HEALTH EMERGENCY AND BEING ABLE TO GET THE ECONOMY MOVING AGAIN.
TO GET THE ECONOMY MOVING AGAIN. >> WE’RE LISTENING TO DR. ZEKE
>> WE’RE LISTENING TO DR. ZEKE EMANUEL HERE WALK THROUGH SOME
EMANUEL HERE WALK THROUGH SOME OF THE NUMBERS AND FOR VIEWERS
OF THE NUMBERS AND FOR VIEWERS WATCHING HERE, 6:08 P.M. ON THE
WATCHING HERE, 6:08 P.M. ON THE EAST COAST, WE’RE SEEING SOME OF
EAST COAST, WE’RE SEEING SOME OF THE MEMBERS BOTH OF THE TASK
THE MEMBERS BOTH OF THE TASK FORCE AND THE ADMINISTRATION
FORCE AND THE ADMINISTRATION STEP OUT TO THE LECTERN.
STEP OUT TO THE LECTERN. THIS BRIEFING, AGAIN, JUST FOR
THIS BRIEFING, AGAIN, JUST FOR FOLKS TO HAVE AN UNDERSTANDING,
FOLKS TO HAVE AN UNDERSTANDING, IS RUNNING ABOUT 40 MINUTES
IS RUNNING ABOUT 40 MINUTES BEHIND.
BEHIND. THEY’VE BEEN HOLDING THESE
THEY’VE BEEN HOLDING THESE BREESKS EARLIER IN THE DAY.
BREESKS EARLIER IN THE DAY. THIS IS NOW GOING BACK TO WHAT
THIS IS NOW GOING BACK TO WHAT IS NOW FOR THE WASHINGTON
IS NOW FOR THE WASHINGTON AUDIENCE MORE OF AN EVENING
AUDIENCE MORE OF AN EVENING BRIEFING.
BRIEFING. VIEWERS WILL ALSO NOTICE
VIEWERS WILL ALSO NOTICE ATTORNEY GENERAL BARR IS UP BY
ATTORNEY GENERAL BARR IS UP BY THE WHITE HOUSE LECTERN.
THE WHITE HOUSE LECTERN. THAT’S AN ADDITION TODAY.
THAT’S AN ADDITION TODAY. THAT WAS SCHEDULED.
THAT WAS SCHEDULED. WE KNEW THAT WAS COMING BUT
WE KNEW THAT WAS COMING BUT WE’RE WAITING ON VICE PRESIDENT
WE’RE WAITING ON VICE PRESIDENT PENCE AND SOME OF THE OTHER
PENCE AND SOME OF THE OTHER FOLKS WHO TYPICALLY COME OUT AND
FOLKS WHO TYPICALLY COME OUT AND WE’LL BRING THE BRIEFING LIVE
WE’LL BRING THE BRIEFING LIVE WHEN WE DO.
WHEN WE DO. ONE MORE QUESTION FOR THE DOCTOR
ONE MORE QUESTION FOR THE DOCTOR AND I’M GOING TO BRING IN
AND I’M GOING TO BRING IN MICHAEL STEELE, BUT DOCTOR, WHAT
MICHAEL STEELE, BUT DOCTOR, WHAT YOU’RE SAYING IN PLAIN ENGLISH
YOU’RE SAYING IN PLAIN ENGLISH IS THAT YOU CAN NOT UNDERSTAND
IS THAT YOU CAN NOT UNDERSTAND OR MAKE THREAT ASSESSMENTS HERE
OR MAKE THREAT ASSESSMENTS HERE TODAY WITHOUT FOLDING IN THE
TODAY WITHOUT FOLDING IN THE TWO-WEEK DELAY, WHICH MEANS SOME
TWO-WEEK DELAY, WHICH MEANS SOME OF WHAT WE’RE SEEING WILL
OF WHAT WE’RE SEEING WILL STATISTICALLY GET WORSE BASED ON
STATISTICALLY GET WORSE BASED ON WHAT WE KNOW.
WHAT WE KNOW. >> CORRECT.
>> CORRECT. >> HOW DOES THAT SQUARE WITH
>> HOW DOES THAT SQUARE WITH WHAT WE HEARD FROM -- WHAT I
WHAT WE HEARD FROM -- WHAT I JUST SHOWED FROM THE PRESIDENT?
JUST SHOWED FROM THE PRESIDENT? HE SEEMS TO BE SPEAKING AS IF
HE SEEMS TO BE SPEAKING AS IF THINGS ARE FROZEN IN TIME AND
THINGS ARE FROZEN IN TIME AND YOU CAN NOW PULL BACK FROM THE
YOU CAN NOW PULL BACK FROM THE HEALTH PRECAUTIONS AND GET BACK
HEALTH PRECAUTIONS AND GET BACK TO, AS HE PUT IT, HELPING THE
TO, AS HE PUT IT, HELPING THE ECONOMY?
ECONOMY? YOU’RE SAYING THAT WHOLE FRAME
YOU’RE SAYING THAT WHOLE FRAME IS BASICALLY WRONG BECAUSE TODAY
IS BASICALLY WRONG BECAUSE TODAY IS NOT FROZEN IN TIME WITH
IS NOT FROZEN IN TIME WITH REGARD TO THE CASES.
REGARD TO THE CASES. >> THAT’S RIGHT.
>> THAT’S RIGHT. WE ARE GOING TO GET MUCH WORSE
WE ARE GOING TO GET MUCH WORSE BEFORE WE GET BETTER, AND ONE OF
BEFORE WE GET BETTER, AND ONE OF THE THINGS WE NEED TO KNOW FROM
THE THINGS WE NEED TO KNOW FROM TESTING, WHICH WE CAN’T KNOW,
TESTING, WHICH WE CAN’T KNOW, GIVEN THE KIND OF TESTING WE
GIVEN THE KIND OF TESTING WE HAVE, IS WHEN THE NUMBER OF NEW
HAVE, IS WHEN THE NUMBER OF NEW CASES IS ACTUALLY GOING DOWN AND
CASES IS ACTUALLY GOING DOWN AND GETTING CLOSE TO ZERO.
GETTING CLOSE TO ZERO. THAT WILL BE THE TIME WHEN YOU
THAT WILL BE THE TIME WHEN YOU CAN PEEL BACK SOME OF THESE
CAN PEEL BACK SOME OF THESE RESTRICTIONS, BUT YOU CAN’T PEEL
RESTRICTIONS, BUT YOU CAN’T PEEL IT BACK WHILE YOU’RE STILL
IT BACK WHILE YOU’RE STILL HAVING A DRAMATIC INCREASE
HAVING A DRAMATIC INCREASE DAY-TO-DAY IN CASES.
DAY-TO-DAY IN CASES. YOU CAN ONLY PEEL BACK THOSE
YOU CAN ONLY PEEL BACK THOSE RESTRICTIONS ONCE THEY HAVE GONE
RESTRICTIONS ONCE THEY HAVE GONE TO ZERO OR AS WE PEOPLE WHO ARE
TO ZERO OR AS WE PEOPLE WHO ARE IN THE EPIDEMIOLOGY FIELD SAY,
IN THE EPIDEMIOLOGY FIELD SAY, ONCE THE PERCENT OF THE
ONCE THE PERCENT OF THE POPULATION WITH CORONAVIRUS
POPULATION WITH CORONAVIRUS PLATEAUS, AND THERE’S NO
PLATEAUS, AND THERE’S NO INDICATION THAT’S HAPPENING.
INDICATION THAT’S HAPPENING. WE’RE EVERY DAY SEEING IT GO UP
WE’RE EVERY DAY SEEING IT GO UP AND UP AND UP.
AND UP AND UP. >> RIGHT.
>> RIGHT. >> SO WE ARE DEFINITELY BEHIND
>> SO WE ARE DEFINITELY BEHIND THE 8-BALL AND ONE OF THE
THE 8-BALL AND ONE OF THE CONSEQUENCES YOU HEAR FROM NEW
CONSEQUENCES YOU HEAR FROM NEW YORK, SEATTLE IS THEY’RE GOING
YORK, SEATTLE IS THEY’RE GOING TO, YOU KNOW, BE OVERWHELMED.
TO, YOU KNOW, BE OVERWHELMED. MORE AND MORE PATIENTS ARE GOING
MORE AND MORE PATIENTS ARE GOING TO COME, EVEN IF IT’S ONLY A
TO COME, EVEN IF IT’S ONLY A SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE NUMBER
SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE INFECTED, AND THEY
OF PEOPLE INFECTED, AND THEY WON’T BE ABLE TO HANDLE THEM IN
WON’T BE ABLE TO HANDLE THEM IN THE HOSPITAL.
THE HOSPITAL. THEY WON’T HAVE ENOUGH
THEY WON’T HAVE ENOUGH VENTILATORS FOR THEM.
VENTILATORS FOR THEM. THEY WON’T HAVE ENOUGH MASKS AND
THEY WON’T HAVE ENOUGH MASKS AND OTHER GEAR TO ACTUALLY TREAT
OTHER GEAR TO ACTUALLY TREAT THEM EFFECTIVELY, AND THAT WILL
THEM EFFECTIVELY, AND THAT WILL MEAN PEOPLE WITH OTHER